NFL Breakout Ballers: Sam Bradford

June 5, 2015 | Category: NFL


2015-2016 DFS Breakout Ballers: Sam Bradford

Myles Gorham

This is the third installment of a 10 part series spotlighting players that will make a significant leap in the 2015 NFL season. Each player featured in this series are prime prospects to target in season long formats, as well as early season DFS lineups before their prices rise. Check out our prior analysis on CJ Anderson. Let’s get into it!

Why We Believe

For NFL fantasy enthusiasts: Sam Bradford hasn’t been able to stay healthy in his career since being drafted 1st overall by the St. Louis Rams back in 2010.  Bradford, when healthy has proven to be an above average starting quarterback in the NFL.  Pair Bradford with offensive guru Chip Kelly, and his fast paced spread offense (Similar offense Bradford ran in college with the Oklahoma Sooners), it should be a match made in football heaven.  Bradford comes over to the Eagles after being traded this offseason from the St. Louis Rams for Nick Foles.  Bradford’s two full seasons as a starter he showed flashes of why he was the #1 overall pick.  In Kelly’s spread offense, Bradford has the experience in the system, with a quick and accurate release.  He also has an arsenal of receivers and an old Sooners teammate to complement the high potent offense.

What the Numbers Tell Us

Now let’s take a look at why Sam Bradford’s numbers he started all 16 games will help him translate into a breakout season.  Last season Bradford didn’t even make it to the regular season before tearing his ACL for the second time the past two years.  During Bradford’s first NFL season and in 2012, his only two seasons as a full-time starter that did not end in injury.  His rookie season the Rams saw Bradford post 3,512 yards, 18 touchdowns and 15 interceptions for a respectable rookie season.  Then into his second season Bradford played 10 games where he posted 2,164 yards, 6 touchdowns to match his 6 interceptions. Coming back off of injury in 2012 Bradford had his best season as a pro; posting 3,702 yards, 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions showing a lot of promise and maturity.  Then during a preseason game last year, Bradford tore his ACL for the second time and missed the entire 2014 season.

Now, heading into his first season in Philadelphia getting a fresh start with a new franchise, Bradford looks to restore his 2012 form.  With the best receiving core he’s had in the NFL, with a combinations of Jordan Matthews, incoming rookie Nelson Agholor, tight end Zach Ertz and two new premier running backs in Demarco Murray and Ryan Mathews.  With the fast pace Kelly offense, Bradford should excel if healthy, with the chance to be a top 15 quarterback.

Fantasy Translation

The numbers Bradford has the chance to post some big fantasy numbers in his first season in Philadelphia.  During his two full healthy seasons as a starter Bradford posted respectable fantasy numbers.  In 2010 as a rookie Bradford ranked 20th for quarterbacks with 190.78 total points.  Then he took a step forward in 2012 where he ranked 16th for quarterbacks with 230.78 total points and his arrow was pointed up before being injured in back to back seasons.

Although, Bradford is expected to “compete” with Mark Sanchez to start, the expectation is Bradford starting as long as his rehab stays on track.  Bradford has the opportunity to be better than what Nick Foles produced in this offense, and Chip Kelly traded for him for a reason.

2015 Stats Prediction: Pass Att: 564, 4,045 Yards, and 23 TD’s with 14 Int’s
2015 Fantasy Prediction: 251.40 Season Total, Weekly Avg: 15.71

Stats and rankings are from fantasydata.com

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